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In the northwest region of Nigeria, a wave of banditry has plagued several states for nearly a decade, leaving a trail of devastation in its wake. While Niger and Kebbi have largely avoided the turmoil, states like Katsina, Kaduna, Zamfara, Sokoto, and others have faced unprecedented levels of violence and insecurity. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the staggering numbers paint a grim picture: over 600,000 Nigerians lost their lives in just one year, with 2.2 million individuals falling victim to kidnapping in 2024. The rural and urban populations alike have been caught in the crossfire, with no respite in sight.

### The Illusion of Peace Deals

In 2021, Zamfara State found itself at the center of a controversial peace deal with bandits orchestrated by then-Governor Bello Matawalle, now serving as the Minister of State for Defence. The rationale behind the pact was to stem the tide of violence that had ravaged the state, claiming countless innocent lives and causing widespread destruction. Matawalle’s efforts resulted in over 62 bandits laying down their arms and over 2000 kidnapped victims being released, a ray of hope in an otherwise bleak landscape. However, the fragile peace quickly crumbled as the bandits reneged on their promises, prompting the state to shift its strategy from negotiation to full-fledged confrontation. Matawalle’s successor, Governor Dauda Lawal, has since adopted a hardline approach, vowing not to engage in further talks with the criminal elements terrorizing Zamfara.

### Resilience and Resistance

In Katsina State, Governor Aminu Bello Masari initially toyed with the idea of brokering a peace deal with the bandits but ultimately abandoned the notion in favor of a more aggressive stance. Masari’s successor, Governor Mallam Dikko Umaru Radda, echoed his predecessor’s sentiments, emphasizing the government’s unwavering resolve to combat the scourge of banditry head-on. Despite the official stance, community leaders in certain local government areas have taken matters into their own hands, engaging in negotiations with bandit kingpins in a bid to secure peace for their villages. The delicate dance between diplomacy and force underscores the complex nature of the security challenges facing the region.

### A Tale of Two Approaches

In neighboring Kaduna, the narrative takes a different turn, shaped by Governor Uba Sani’s willingness to engage in dialogue with the bandits. This stands in stark contrast to the unyielding stance of former Governor Nasir El-Rufai, whose unequivocal declaration, “We don’t negotiate with terrorists in Kaduna, we kill them,” reverberated across the state. The divergent approaches highlight the divergent perspectives within the political landscape, with some advocating for peaceful resolutions while others advocate for a more aggressive response. The voices of the affected communities, echoing cries for an end to the cycle of violence, serve as a poignant reminder of the human cost of conflict in the region.

As the dust settles on years of turmoil and bloodshed, the northwestern states of Nigeria find themselves at a crossroads, grappling with the aftermath of a decade-long struggle against banditry. The shifting sands of peace and war continue to shape the landscape, with each state charting its own course towards a more secure future. The road ahead is fraught with challenges, but the resilience and determination of the Nigerian people offer a glimmer of hope in the face of adversity.